Welcome to gmpe.org.uk, a site that hosts the GMPE compendium by John Douglas, a Chancellor's Fellow (Lecturer) at the University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK.

Ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs), also called ground-motion models and attenuation relations, estimate the earthquake shaking that would occur a site given the occurrence of an earthquake of a certain magnitude at a nearby location. GMPEs play a key role in engineering seismology and earthquake engineering as they are used to provide estimates of the forces that a structure may undergo during a future earthquake. GMPEs generally predict a scalar intensity measure (IM) of the earthquake shaking.

The compendium provided by this website provides details of published models for the commonly-used IMs of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and linear elastic response spectral ordinates (acceleration, velocity and displacement). It also provides brief characteristics of models for: peak ground velocity (PGV) and displacement (PGD), Arias intensity (AI), cumulative absolute velocity (CAV), Fourier spectral amplitudes (FSA), inelastic response spectral ordinates (ISO), Japanese Meterological Agency (JMA) seismic intensity, macroseismic intensity (MI, also called intensity prediction equations), mean period (MP) and relative significant duration (RSD). The focus is on empirical GMPEs, i.e. those derived from recorded strong-motion data, but lists are provided of simulation-based GMPEs as well as models derived in other ways (e.g. hybrid and backbone).

Review articles based on this compendium were published in Earth-Science Reviews in 2003 and 2016 . A general review of ground-motion prediction is available here

An open-access article comparing data and GMPEs for large earthquakes is available in Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering

Please contact me if a model is missing or if you find an error. Thank you.

Click here to access the compendium in html and here to download the compendium in PDF. Last updated 28 September 2017

These figures and some introductory material on engineering seismology, with citable DOIs, are available for download

Click here for a presentation on Recent and Future Developments in Earthquake Ground Motion Estimation given at the SECED evening meeting of 25 May 2016

Click here to download the FORTRAN program CHEEP (Composite Hybrid Equation Estimation Program) developed for the article 'Ground-motion prediction equations for southern Spain and southern Norway obtained using the composite model perspective' by Douglas et al. (2006, Journal of Earthquake Engineering, 10(1), 33-72).

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Ground motion prediction equations (1964-2017) is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.