Welcome to the GMPE compendium by John Douglas, a Chancellor's Fellow (Lecturer) in Civil and Environmental Engineering at the University of Strathclyde, UK.
Ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs), also called ground-motion models and attenuation relations, estimate the shaking (strong ground motion) that may occur at a site if an earthquake of a certain magnitude occurs at a nearby location. GMPEs are crucial for engineering seismology and earthquake engineering (branches of civil engineering) as they are used to assess seismic hazard, thereby providing estimates of the loading that a structure may undergo during a future earthquake.
The compendium provided by this website provides details of published models for the commonly-used scalar intensity measures (IMs) of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and linear elastic response spectral ordinates (acceleration, velocity and displacement). It also provides brief characteristics of models for: peak ground velocity (PGV) and displacement (PGD), Arias intensity (AI), cumulative absolute velocity (CAV), Fourier spectral amplitudes (FSA), inelastic response spectral ordinates (ISO), Japanese Meterological Agency (JMA) seismic intensity, macroseismic intensity (MI, also called intensity prediction equations), mean period (MP) and relative significant duration (RSD). The focus is on empirical GMPEs, i.e. those derived from recorded strong-motion data, but lists are provided of simulation-based GMPEs as well as models derived in other ways (e.g. hybrid and backbone). GMPEs for both natural (crustal and subduction) and induced/triggered earthquakes are included.
Review articles based on this compendium were published in Earth-Science Reviews in 2003 and 2016 . A general review of ground-motion prediction is available here
A recent article on Capturing Geographically-Varying Uncertainty in Earthquake Ground Motion Models or What We Think We Know May Change is available
Please contact me if a model is missing or if you find an error. Thank you.
Click here to access the compendium in html and here to download the compendium in PDF. Last updated 13 April 2018
These figures and some introductory material on engineering seismology, with citable DOIs, are available for download
Click here for a presentation on Recent and Future Developments in Earthquake Ground Motion Estimation given at the SECED evening meeting of 25 May 2016
Click here to download the FORTRAN program CHEEP (Composite Hybrid Equation Estimation Program) developed for the article 'Ground-motion prediction equations for southern Spain and southern Norway obtained using the composite model perspective' by Douglas et al. (2006, Journal of Earthquake Engineering, 10(1), 33-72).
Ground motion prediction equations (1964-2018) is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.